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Friday, June 16, 2023

The Daily Money: 100% Chance of Recession

82% of those surveyed believe the country is facing an unprecedented housing affordability crisis.

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The Daily Money

ALL THE MONEY NEWS YOU NEED TO KNOW

Fri Jun 16 2023

 

Swapna Venugopal Ramaswamy  National Housing and Economy Correspondent

@SwapnaVenugopal

Happy Friday! This is Swapna Venugopal Ramaswamy bringing you today's top Daily Money headlines.

When it comes to financial news, two words we haven't been able to escape this year are inflation and recession.

Inflation is a reality, but fears of recession have been on people's minds.

The short-term benchmark fed funds rate stands at the highest level since 2006, but inflation's still  twice the Fed's goal. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell warned after the Fed's policy committee meeting on Wednesday more rate hikes will likely be necessary to further cool inflation. 

But that, likely, will cause a recession, says David Folkerts-Landau, Deutsche Bank chief economist. 

"The U.S. is heading for its first genuine policy-led boom-bust cycle in at least four decades," he writes. "The inflation we see was induced largely by expansive fiscal and monetary policy, and the aggressive rate hikes needed to tame that have now materialized. Avoiding a hard landing would be historically unprecedented." 

things-to-know-refinancing-mortgage-homebuying-interest-rate_large.jpg

Homebuying and selling in an uncertain time

Getty Images

Ironically, a recession may be something most prospective homebuyers want.

Buying a home has become so unaffordable that most prospective homebuyers wouldn't mind a recession if it meant lower mortgage rates, according to a new survey.

Sixty four percent of Americans say they are "ready for a recession" if they are better able to afford buying a home, according to a study conducted by Harris Poll on behalf of Credit Karma, designed exclusively for USA TODAY.

Not surprisingly, 82% of those surveyed believe the country is facing an unprecedented housing affordability crisis.

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