Monday, August 4, 2025

Is the economy hot or not?

Some economists fear recession while Trump blames bad math. ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌  ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ 
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The Daily Briefing

YOUR MORNING NEWS ROUNDUP

Mon Aug 4 2025

 

Nicole Fallert Newsletter Writer

@nicolefallert

Good morning!🙋🏼‍♀️ I'm Nicole Fallert. The dreaded gym class mile run is back.

Quick look at Monday's news:

We learned discouraging and encouraging news about the U.S. economy in recent days.
Get ready for ICE to flood your social media feeds.
Small-town activists think rural Americans could swing Democrat.

Economy = weak labor market + tariff uncertainty

Employers in the U.S. added a disappointing 73,000 jobs (well below the expected 102,000) in July as payroll growth slowed amid President Donald Trump's sweeping import tariffs, intensified immigration crackdown and massive federal layoffs.

This was no blip: The poor showing likely wasn't an outlier that will be followed by a resumption of healthy job gains in the months ahead, economists told USA TODAY. More concerning, however, were downward revisions to April and May's numbers, suggesting the labor market may be weaker than previously thought.

In response, Trump ordered the firing of Erika McEntarfer, the U.S. commissioner of Labor Statistics. The president in a social media post accused McEntarfer of manipulating the math for "political purposes," though he did not provide any evidence.
Will there be a recession in 2025? Amid worries about Trump's tariffs pushing up prices, consumers are reigning in. That should translate into weaker job gains, especially in sectors such as manufacturing, retail, trucking and warehousing, economists say. A recession now appears "very, very likely" unless Trump lowers the tariffs by Labor Day, one economist told USA TODAY.
Any encouraging news? GDP grew 3%.

💵 What the Trump administration means for your wallet: Sign up for USA TODAY's Daily Money newsletter for more tips and analysis.

Texas Democrats seek to block redistricting vote by leaving state

Democratic lawmakers in Texas said Sunday they were leaving the state to deny Republicans the quorum needed to redraw the state's 38 congressional districts, a move sought to protect the Republicans' narrow U.S. House majority in next year's midterm elections. President Trump has championed the redistricting plan, telling reporters he expects the effort to yield as many as five additional House Republicans. Republicans hold a narrow 220-212 majority in the House of Representatives, with three Democratic-held seats vacant after members' deaths. In a video shot in front of an airport, Democratic Representative James Talarico said the redistricting amounted to "rigging" the 2026 elections.

More news to know now

A United pilot called out mayday shortly after takeoff.
Despite Trump's campaign pledge, the White House has no current plans to mandate insurance coverage for IVF.
Should Americans be worried about Dexter?
A "megafire" rages near the Grand Canyon.

What's the weather today? Check your local forecast here.

ICE is recruiting agents with incentives

Dangling bonuses of up to $50,000, federal officials are launching a massive recruitment campaign to hire more than 14,000 immigration agents, attorneys and other workers to help execute President Trump's border crackdown. The president is newly flush with billions in funding and wants to deport 1 million people a year with the help of Immigration and Customs Enforcement agents. Even before the new hires take their posts, the dramatic expansion of public ICE operations has upset communities. And the aggressive recruitment efforts have also angered local sheriffs who worry that deputies in already understaffed offices will be lured away by the big bonuses and higher pay.

Will Rural America give up on Trump?

"The frustration with Republicans is palpable. Maybe we never get the MAGA voters — we probably never will — but there's a ton of independents out there looking at this and just saying, 'man, this isn't what I voted for.'" 

~ Matt Hildreth, Executive Director of RuralOrganizing.org. Hildreth's group is already operating in congressional battleground districts in Iowa, Ohio and Pennsylvania, with a focus on getting people to talk about Medicaid. 

Today's talkers

Where do you get Doechii, Olivia Rodrigo and T-Pain?? Lollapalooza.
"Sex and the City" fans celebrate and mourn the end of "And Just Like That..."
Watch Mimi Rhodes sink a hole-in-one off another golf ball.
Here are the Little League Softball World Series games to watch Monday.
"Attention rehab" videos are going viral.

Winners and losers from the U.S. track and field championships

Melissa Jefferson-Wooden accomplished the sprint double, Sydney McLaughlin-Levrone was golden in the 400 and Noah Lyles was braggadocious as he won another 200 national title. On the field, Valarie Allman continued her reign over the discus and Tara Davis-Woodhall leaped to the top mark in the world in the long jump. The U.S. track and field championships served as the qualifying stage for next month's world championships in Tokyo, Japan. USA TODAY Sports  was on the sidelines at Hayward Field for all the action.

Syndication The Register Guard

Melissa Jefferson-Wooden celebrates her win in the women's 100-meter dash.

Ben Lonergan/The Register-Guard, Ben Lonergan/The Register-Guard / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

Photo of the day: You did that, Trinity!

The NWSL saw the return of one of its stars in a big way Sunday, as the Washington Spirit's Trinity Rodman struck a game-winning goal against the Portland Thorns in her first match since April 12. Rodman, who battled back from a nagging back injury, scored in the second minute of second half stoppage time, catching a ball mid-bounce and firing it over keeper Mackenzie Arnold for the game-winner. Rodman missed the game as much as we missed her.

Nwsl Portland Thorns Fc At Washington Spirit

Washington Spirit forward Trinity Rodman (2) reacts after scoring a goal against Portland Thorns FC.

Amber Searls, Amber Searls-Imagn Images

Nicole Fallert is a newsletter writer at USA TODAY, sign up for the email here . Want to send Nicole a note? Shoot her an email at NFallert@usatoday.com.

TOP STORIES

NEW YORK, NEW YORK - MAY 27: Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange during morning trading on May 27, 2025 in New York City.

Over recent decades, the stock market has seen annual returns around 10%. What if those days are over?

A woman holds placards with pictures of Israeli hostages Evyatar David and Rom Braslavski, held as hostages in Gaza, as she sits amid security wire, during a protest in Gaza, in Tel Aviv, Israel, August 2, 2025.
 

US envoy tells Israeli hostage families he's aiming to end Gaza War

 

The Middle East envoy for Trump told families of hostages being held by Hamas he was working with Israel on a plan to end the war in Gaza.

US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent (L) shakes hands with Senator Lindsey Graham, Republican of South Carolina, after President Donald Trump (C) signed the "Big Beautiful Bill Act" at the White House in Washington, DC, on July 4, 2025.
 

Who will win Senate majority in 2026? These are 11 key races to watch.

 

From the South to the Great Lakes, contested primaries and open Senate seat battles will determine who's serving for President Trump's last two years.

When domestic violence survivors are often silenced or fear seeking help, this anonymous platform gives them a place to give and receive support.
 

On Tea app, abuse survivors are warning each other about 'bad' men

 

When domestic violence survivors are often silenced or fear seeking help, this anonymous platform gives them a place to give and receive support.

Sick woman with flu cough sitting on couch at home.
 

Flu, COVID may 'wake up' dormant cancer cells, study finds

 

The new mice study builds on previous studies that found COVID-19 doubled patients' risk of dying from cancer.

Kody Clemens is one of the Twins players who was not traded.
 

MLB trade deadline awards: Why Twins had mind-boggling fire sale

 

The Twins became the talk of baseball after trading nearly half their roster at the MLB trade deadline

Jul 26, 2025; Oxnard, CA, USA; Dallas Cowboys owner Jerry Jones at training camp at the River Ridge Fields. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-Imagn Images
 

Exclusive: Jerry Jones talks Micah Parsons contract

 

Cowboys owner Jerry Jones, in an exclusive interview with USA TODAY Sports' Jarrett Bell, discusses extensively Micah Parsons' contract situation.

John Cena congratulates Cody Rhodes after Rhodes won and became the WWE Undisputed Champion during the WWE SummerSlam 2025 at MetLife Stadium on Aug. 3, 2025 in East Rutherford, New Jersey.
 

Ranking every match from WWE SummerSlam 2025

 

The first two-day SummerSlam is in the books, and there were some stellar matches while there were others that fell flat.

USA TODAY's The Excerpt podcast
 

PODCAST: A look at the millions expected to lose their health insurance in the coming years

 

USA TODAY's daily news podcast, The Excerpt, brings you a curated mix of the most important headlines seven mornings a week.

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