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Friday, March 10, 2023

The Daily Money: How close are we to a recession?

Employers added 311,000 jobs last month, a large enough gain to raise concerns that the Federal Reserve will accelerate interest rate hikes. ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌  ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌  ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌  ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ 
usatoday.com

The Daily Money
 
Friday, March 10

Happy Friday, Daily Money readers. It's Bailey Schulz here to bring you the day's top stories. 

The Labor Department released the latest jobs report today, revealing that the U.S. is still adding too many jobs for the Federal Reserve's liking.

Employers added 311,000 jobs last month – a slowdown from January but still large enough to raise concerns that the Fed will accelerate interest rate hikes to fight inflation. Economists had been forecasting 225,000 job gains. 

The unemployment rate rose from a 54-year low of 3.4% to 3.6%.  

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said earlier that today's report would be critical in setting the Fed's course, stoking fears that aggressive rate hikes could trigger a recession later this year. 

Hiring sign is displayed at a restaurant in Highland Park, Ill., Thursday, July 14, 2022. Fewer Americans filed for unemployment benefits last week as the labor market continues to shine despite weakening elements of the U.S. economy. Applications for jobless aid for the week ending Aug. 27, fell by 5,000 to 232,000, the Labor Department reported Thursday, Sept. 1.
Hiring sign is displayed at a restaurant in Highland Park, Ill., Thursday, July 14, 2022.
Nam Y. Huh, AP

But will it really?

But it seems as though economists are constantly saying there will be a recession in six months, and it hasn't panned out yet. 

All the job gains have forecasters upgrading their outlook for the economy and pushing back estimates for a recession start time.  

Fifty-eight percent of economists say there's more than a 50% chance of a downturn in the next 12 months, according to a panel of 48 forecasters surveyed Feb. 3-10 by the National Association of Business Economics.  

But just 28% expect the slump to begin in this quarter, compared with 52% who held that view in December. Instead, 33% predict a recession will start in the second quarter and another 21% say it will begin in the third quarter.

πŸ“° More stories you shouldn't miss πŸ“°

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πŸ” Today's Menu πŸ”

Scrambled eggs, French toast and a blueberry muffin served about 35,000 feet in the air.

Delta is bringing back its kids menu next month, which will offer a variety of options for picky eaters. The dishes were put on pause earlier in the pandemic.

Along with the breakfast menu, the airline will have a lunch and dinner kids special with cheese tortellini with marinara sauce and parmesan. The meals will be available in all cabins on long-haul international flights and in first class on most domestic routes.

About The Daily Money

Each weekday, The Daily Money delivers the best consumer news from USA TODAY. We break down financial news and provide the TLDR version: how decisions by the Federal Reserve, government and companies impact you.

WASHINGTON, DC - OCTOBER 07: A "Now Hiring" sign is displayed in front of a Chipotle restaurant on October 07, 2022 in Washington, DC. The Labor Department announced that in the month of September the U.S. added 263,000 jobs as the unemployment rate fell to 3.5% (Photo by Anna Moneymaker/Getty Images) ORG XMIT: 775884553 ORIG FILE ID: 1431462807
Employers added 311,000 jobs in February as hiring slowed but stayed...
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